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« A summary of Test cricket by period (Part 1) | | Analysing the 'who' and 'when' of ODI spells »

November 7, 2008

Posted by Ananth Narayanan at 5:07 AM in Test cricket

A summary of Test cricket by period (Part 2)





The numbers of catches taken by a wicketkeeper per Test has doubled from what it was in the Pre-World War One days © Getty Images

In the first part we saw the way the numbers related to Matches, Innings, Results, Partnerships and Extras have changed over the 130 years of Test cricket. In this second part we will cover Batting, Bowling, Keeping and Dismissals.

Let me emphasise that some of this information can be garnered using Cricinfo's excellent Statsguru. Mine will offer a different perspective and is a summarised analysis using my database.

Batting will be analysed by right- and left-hand batsmen. Bowling will be analysed by pace and spin bowling. All dismissals would be analysed. As far as the keepers are concerned, byes have already been analysed in Part 1. Here the two wicketkeeper dismissals would be covered.

1. Batting analysis 1 (average - left & right)

Period     R-Avg  L-Avg  T-Avg

Pre-WW1    22.73  25.33  23.06
WW1-WW2    31.68  29.73  31.40
40s-50s    28.44  30.98  28.81
1960s      29.72  35.37  30.82
1970s      30.29  32.86  30.79
1980s      29.65  33.61  30.44
1990s      28.21  33.32  29.45
2000s      28.99  37.89  31.68

All Tests  28.77  34.19  29.92

All->1000R 37.34 39.46 37.90

First the period changes. After a relatively difficult first period, the other seven periods have seen very little variations in batting average. The current decade has seen the best batting average of all times. This is almost 5% above the all-test average.

However the real shock comes when we see the right and left-hand figures. Barring a single period (the period in between the World Wars - no doubt caused by Bradman & Co), left-handers have consistently averaged between 10 and 30% more than the right-handers. Across all Tests there is a 15% variance. Look at the current decade. Left-handers have averaged nearly 30% more than the right-handers. I have no explanations. The readers will certainly have a few.

This is borne out by the following facts. This may explain "how" but not "why".

1. As per my records, 440 players have batted left-handed. This, out of 2525 players. A frequency of approximately one in six.
2. In the list of top 25 batting averages, there are seven left-hand batsmen. This is a much higher frequency of one in every 3.5. It explains why left-handers have a much better average. Extending it further, 107 out of 400 top averaging batsmen are left-handed. One in four!
3. In the list of top 25 run-scorers, there are eight left-hand batsmen. This is a much higher frequency of one in every three. They not only average more but score more also, it seems. Extending it further, 101 out of 400 top-scoring batsmen are left handed. Again, one in four.

I have not done any analysis on centuries since I strongly feel a century is only a personal milestone and does nothing more for the team, other than, of course the 100th run. A 99 will serve the team as much as a 100. There is a lot of unnecessary hype over a century. At least I will ignore this measure.

It can be clearly seen that the difference between Right and Left handers is less pronounced when I do a separate analysis of only batsmen who have scored greater than 1000 runs, thus clearly excluding the real tail-enders. Many thanks to Hariharan Sriram's observation.

To view the complete table, click here.

2. Bowling analysis 1 (average - pace & spin)

Period    P-Avg  S-Avg  T-Avg

Pre-WW1   23.24  25.00  24.02
WW1-WW2   32.15  33.10  32.56
40s-50s   28.78  31.20  29.96
1960s     30.41  34.47  32.11
1970s     30.19  35.01  31.94
1980s     29.93  37.71  32.07
1990s     29.84  35.62  31.51
2000s     32.94  35.43  33.76

All Tests 30.27  33.72  31.51

All->100w 26.75  29.25  27.67
The bowling average is analysed between pace and spin. First the period analysis. Barring the first period and the 1940s-1950s (just barely) the bowling average has been in excess of 30. The all-Test average is still higher at 31.51.

Now the split between pace and spin. The average for pace is about 5% below the all-Test average and 10% below the spin average. This is as expected and does not offer any surprises.

Since this involves every wicket taken, I have done an alternate measure. This is to consider the averages only for bowlers who have taken 100 wickets and more. For obvious reasons this can be done at a total level only and not by period.

These figures are considerably (about 10%) below the all-bowler averages. Pace averages 26.25 while spinners average 29.25, both very reasonable figures.
To view the complete table, click here.

3. Bowling analysis 2 (strike-rate - pace & spin)

Period   P-S/R  S-S/R  T-S/R

Pre-WW1   55.2   57.0   56.0
WW1-WW2   75.6   76.7   76.0
40s-50s   75.6   82.7   79.1
1960s     72.2   92.7   80.8
1970s     68.0   89.7   75.9
1980s     63.0   90.8   70.6
1990s     63.2   82.0   68.6
2000s     62.3   72.9   65.8

All Tests 65.6   80.4   70.9

All->100w 58.9   73.1   64.1
The strike-rates follow a similar pattern to the bowling averages. The pace bowlers strike at a frequency which is about 20% below the spinners. This applies to the bowlers who have captured more than 100 wickets also.
To view the complete table, click here.

4. Bowling analysis 3 (runs per over - pace & spin)

Period   P-Rpo  S-Rpo  T-Rpo

Pre-WW1   2.52   2.63   2.57
WW1-WW2   2.55   2.59   2.57
4os-50s   2.28   2.26   2.27
1960s     2.53   2.23   2.38
1970s     2.66   2.34   2.53
1980s     2.85   2.49   2.72
1990s     2.83   2.61   2.76
2000s     3.17   2.92   3.08

All Tests 2.77   2.52   2.67

All->100w 2.73   2.40   2.59
The spinners come into their own in the runs per over measure. They are about 10-15% more economical. The surprise is the figures do not show much variation across the periods, the first one included. Note also the current decade. The bowlers have become more expensive. Even the spinners are going at nearly three runs per over.
To view the complete table, click here.

Now let us analyse the dismissals effected.

5. Dismissals analysis 1 (bowled - % and per match)

Period    Bowled  Wkts  % of Tot Bow/Mtch

Pre-WW1     1639  4301     38.1    12.2
WW1-WW2     1205  3998     30.1     8.6
40s-50s     1774  6089     29.1     8.5
1960s       1449  5546     26.1     7.8
1970s       1268  5866     21.6     6.4
1980s       1489  7504     19.8     5.6
1990s       1786 10203     17.5     5.1
2000s       2084 12278     17.0     5.1

All Tests  12694 55785     22.8     6.7
Major surprises here. The number of bowled wickets was as high as 38.1 during the first period and then fell only to around 30% during the next two periods. Now it stands at a low 17%, around one in six.

To what can this be attributed? Improvement in technique, change in bowling line, more lbws et al.

6. Dismissals analysis 2 (lbw - % and per match)

Period    Lbw    Wkts  % of Tot  Lbw/Mtch

Pre-WW1      286  4301      6.6     2.1
WW1-WW2      509  3998     12.7     3.6
40s-50s      821  6089     13.5     3.9
1960s        661  5546     11.9     3.6
1970s        716  5866     12.2     3.6
1980s       1201  7504     16.0     4.5
1990s       1755 10203     17.2     5.1
2000s       2178 12278     17.7     5.3

All Tests   8127 55785     14.6     4.3
Here it has happened the other way. During the first period, only one in 16 were lbws. Now it is one in six. Again, why? Changes in lbw laws, umpires being more liberal in giving lbw decisions, reverse-swing (?) et al.

7. Dismissals analysis 3 (caught - % and per match)

Period    Ct Others Wkts % of Tot Ct/Mtch

Pre-WW1     1809  4301     42.1    13.5
WW1-WW2     1639  3998     41.0    11.7
40s-50s     2332  6089     38.3    11.2
1960s       2325  5546     41.9    12.5
1970s       2630  5866     44.8    13.4
1980s       3154  7504     42.0    11.8
1990s       4323 10203     42.4    12.5
2000s       5314 12278     43.3    12.9

All Tests  23526 55785     42.2    12.4
These are the non-wicketkeeper catches and have remained fairly static across the years. No information is available on where the catches were taken. As such I will not be able to separate the slip/gully cathes. No doubt these would be on the increase during the later years.

8. Dismissals analysis 4 (stumped - % and per match)

Period    Stumped  Wkts  % of Tot  St/Mtch

Pre-WW1      152  4301      3.5     1.1
WW1-WW2      158  3998      4.0     1.1
40s-50s      207  6089      3.4     1.0
1960s        106  5546      1.9     0.6
1970s         99  5866      1.7     0.5
1980s        109  7504      1.5     0.4
1990s        148 10203      1.5     0.4
2000s        222 12278      1.8     0.5

All Tests   1201 55785      2.2     0.6
The percentage of stumpings started at quite a high value and has now come down to less than 2%. Note that it takes an average of two matches to get a stumping now. Probably there is a lot of stand and swat rather than use one's feet and move out.

9. Dismissals analysis 5 (Ct by Wk - % and per match)

Period   Ct by Wk Wkts  % of Tot CWk/Mtch

Pre-WW1      373  4301      8.7     2.8
WW1-WW2      432  3998     10.8     3.1
40s-50s      859  6089     14.1     4.1
1960s        920  5546     16.6     4.9
1970s       1053  5866     18.0     5.3
1980s       1406  7504     18.7     5.3
1990s       2032 10203     19.9     5.9
2000s       2308 12278     18.8     5.6

All Tests   9383 55785     16.8     5.0
As expected this figure has more than doubled from the first to last period. This is now a very effective manner of dismissal. More than one in six. The drop in bowled has indicated bowlers now try and get the edges. Consequently the keeper comes in more often. Without entering into the bowler-keeper argument again, let me now say most of the credit should go to the bowler, with some credit going to the keeper, especially for the difficult catches.

10. Dismissals analysis 6 (run-outs - % and per match)

Period   Runouts  Wkts   % of Tot  RO/Mtch

Pre-WW1     179   4301      4.2     1.3 
WW1-WW2     147   3998      3.7     1.1 
40s-50s     241   6089      4.0     1.2 
1960s       232   5546      4.2     1.2 
1970s       218   5866      3.7     1.1 
1980s       258   7504      3.4     1.0 
1990s       359  10203      3.5     1.0 
2000s       419  12278      3.4     1.0 

All Tests   2053 55785      3.7     1.1 
There seems to be a slight drop in the percentage of run-outs over the years. Is there a possible reason that with the advent of the third umpire, in both run-out and Stumping cases, the batsman gets the benefit of technology and marginal decisions which were given with the naked eye are now not given?

I had made an offer that all this information would be available to the readers. This is going to take some time since I am preparing a comprehensive XL sheet with all the parameters for easier access and retrieval. I will make this available at a later date by providing a suitable link.

 
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Comments

Posted by: shrikanthk at November 7, 2008 5:57 AM

A few observations
The high percentage of "bowled" and "stumped" dismissals in the first two periods can be largely attributed to the practice of the wicketkeeper standing up even to fast medium bowlers. This made bowlers bowl a straighter line as opposed to the current fashion of bowling in the "corridor" outside off-stump.
[[
Ananth:
Good point. Although a "straighter line" should also have resulted in increase in Lbws. Probably the laws prevailing at that time might have accounted for this.
]]

However, a straighter line should have translated to a lower strike rate and a higher economy rate among the fast bowlers in the early periods. But we observe exactly the opposite. The strike rates of fast bowlers have reduced while their economy rates have worsened over the years.

Posted by: bradluen at November 7, 2008 6:13 AM

What's surprising is that left-handers have a higher batting average than right-handers at each batting position from 1 to 9 (it's only close at number 4, while right-handers do better at 10 and 11). This suggests it's not just the elite players driving the difference. Are left-handers systematically undervalued?

Posted by: Charles Davis at November 7, 2008 6:13 AM

Note that lumping the first 35 years of Tests together glosses over perhaps the most important period of change in the game, that occurred in the 1890s. 1895-1913 was called the "Golden Age", with some justification, whereas in 1877-1895 cricket was extremely slow and dull by modern standards. These two periods should not be averaged together.
[[
Ananth:
A valid point. However I was also trying to cut down the number of periods. For instance the 2000s might very well, one day, need to be split into Australian-domination and Australian-going-down eras since there are likely to be distinct changes.
]]

Posted by: chris at November 7, 2008 6:26 AM

The run rates for spinners did not change much over time, but it changed a lot for fast bowlers. That, I think, can be attributed to the protective gear batsmen now don when facing the quicks. That's a lot more edges reaching the boundary, edges on balls players from the 60s and 70s might have avoided in the interest of safety.

Posted by: fairguy at November 7, 2008 6:50 AM

forgive me for sounding impolite. While this article was quite informative it was an utterly boring read. Isn't there a way by which author could use more imaginative ways of presentating rather than just dump us with numbers. I feel such analysis takes the life out of the game that we love and makes it look so ordinary and insipid. I appreaciate the amazing effort that has gone into building these humungous databases, but can't they be put to better use. Thanks.
[[
Ananth:
It is obvious you have no time for understanding Cricket history or its evolution. I am sure there are much better and not-so-boring reads or broadcasts for you. In the meanwhile you are welcome not to waste your time on such useless articles.
]]

Posted by: David Barry at November 7, 2008 6:51 AM

On lefties: There was a paper by Brooks et al. that looked at the 2003 World Cup, and it provided some evidence that lack of familiarity is the reason for left-handers being so common and successful at the top level of the game.

Basic idea: in low-level competitions, the raw talent is varied enough for there not to be a noticeable advantage for lefties. But in competitions where the talent spread is small (ie, a strong cricketing country), the advantage of being a lefty (and hence unfamiliar) becomes more significant, so you get more and more lefties at the highest level. But presumably not more than 50%, or the righties would start to have the advantage.

Anyway, in the 2003 WC, lefties and righties did similarly against bowlers from the best teams, but lefties did much better than righties against bowlers from the minnow sides (who bowl in leagues where there aren't many lefties).
[[
Ananth:
David, my feeling is that analysis will bring out different results for ODIs and Tests.
]]

Posted by: Hariharan Sriram at November 7, 2008 6:57 AM

One more possible factor for lower averages of right hand batsmen is that tail end batsmen predominantly tend to be right handers(i am assuming that by batsmen you mean the entire eleven and not just the top seven or eight)

one more area of analysis could have been the increasing role of keepers as batsmen, though it is pretty evident.
and ya, the stumpings have come down because the batsmen nowadays tend to stay in their crease. Part of this is because of the enormous power they generate from the crease and the new bats, and also the reluctance of the spinners to flight the ball and draw the batsmen out of the crease.
[[
Ananth:
You are right. I did a 100% analysis. It is possible that a sub-analysis can be done for batsmen like what I have done for bowlers (separate for bowlers > 100 wkts). When I do that I will incorporate the same within the main article. So pleas look for the same within the next 24 hours.
]]

and if the record keeping permits, we'd love to have an analysis of the percentage of runs scored in boundaries. It is always an interesting means of figuring out the mindset and nature of the batsmen, the captains(who set the fields) and the teams(attack or grind).

all in all, this is one of the most comprehensive analysis I have come across. Great job!

Posted by: Ananth at November 7, 2008 7:19 AM

This is a response to Hariharan Sriram's comments.

I have added a sub-analysis of batsmen who have scored over 1000 runs and the results are provided below and have been added to the main article also.

All->1000R 37.34 39.46 37.90 |28413 2716 959557|10062 929 360365|38475 3645 1319922

It can be clearly seen that the difference between Right and Left handers is less pronounced with this tweak clearly substantiating Hariharan Sriram's observation.

This has also been incorporated in the main article.

Many thanks to him.

Posted by: Marcus at November 7, 2008 8:37 AM

With regards to the high "Bowled" % in the pre-war period, I think the pitches and the style of bowling must have had something to do with it. The slow bowlers seem to outnumber the quicks in those days, with Australia having the likes of Boyle and Parker bowling with great effect and only Spofforth being really quick. Likewise England with Lockwood et al, and South Africa with Faulkner & Friends. This type of bowling, on pitches that could get good and wet and have the ball skid low, evidently did result in a lot of bowlings.

Posted by: Sriram at November 7, 2008 11:15 AM

One more possible factor for higher averages of left hand batsmen may be bowling angle. The number of right hand bowlers is more than left hand bowlers and a right hand bowler's natural angle for a left hand batsman is to move the ball away from him. This decreases the possibility of getting out.

Posted by: sam at November 7, 2008 12:41 PM

I think one contributing factor to the higher averages of left-handers is their reduced likelihood of being dismissed lbw, considering that bowlers, just like batsmen, tend to be right-handed. Right-armers bowling to left-handers will be denied lbws more often by pitching outside leg (just as we see - but less often due to their scarcity - with left-arm quicks bowling to right-handed batsmen). Furthermore, if they go round the wicket, the angle they create means they will often be missing leg if they hit the batsman in line. In short, there's no better chance of an lbw than when a right-armer bowls to a right-hander (or left to left, but again this is far less common). Of course, I don't believe that this fully accounts for the significantly higher averages of left-handed batsmen, but I'm sure it represents a piece of the puzzle.

Posted by: Martin at November 7, 2008 1:04 PM

I think one of the reasons why lefties do better is that they are always going against the grain. Most bowlers are righties who have to make adjustments against batsmen lefties, ie going around the wicket. I would suggest that an analysis of tennis lefties that do well is also proportionally better than righties. I would love to compare lefty bowlers against lefty batsmen and righties against righties. Also a combination of left and right batsmen at the crease interchanging continually also destabilises the fielders, who have to adjust positions after every odd run.

Posted by: Ananth at November 7, 2008 1:16 PM

A common response to the fascinating insights being provided by the readers regarding the superior averages of left-handers. All these make sense and together contribute to the overall better performance of left-handers.
The comment on the angles being employed is very valid.
It is true that the angle of an outstanding left-hander such as Nadal seemed to be the only way to stop, or rather slow down, the incomparable Federer.
It is impossible to do a left vs left analysis owing to non-availability of ball-by-ball data.

Posted by: Karl at November 7, 2008 3:30 PM

I don't think the reduction in run-out % is due to 3rd umpires or technology because these were only introduced in the 90s, and there is very little change from the 80s on.

I think the most likely reason would be the introduction of one-day cricket, which would have improved players' skill in running between the wicket.

Posted by: Judas at November 7, 2008 4:43 PM

Another possible measure could be the successive differences in team totals between each of the four innings which might throw light on pitch preparation; a steadily decreasing total from 1st to 4th might tell of decent pitches which deteriorated at a normal rate, huge differences between the first and second innings totals of teams might either speak of dry pitches which crumbled rapidly or damp strips which eased out under the sun; Although I understand that pitches were rarely covered until 1974 or something, so the analysis might be a bit flawed.

Posted by: Judas at November 7, 2008 4:53 PM

Another possible measure could be the successive differences in team totals between each of the four innings which might throw light on pitch preparation; a steadily decreasing total from 1st to 4th might tell of decent pitches which deteriorated at a normal rate, huge differences between the first and second innings totals of teams might either speak of dry pitches which crumbled rapidly or damp strips which eased out under the sun; Although I understand that pitches were rarely covered until 1974 or something, so the analysis might be a bit flawed.

Posted by: shrikanthk at November 9, 2008 8:28 AM

Ananth: Two reasons why LBWs remained uncommon in the early periods despite the straighter line of the bowlers (apart from the differences in rules)

- Batsmen seldom used their pads unlike in the post war period when pad play became very popular especially when facing spinners.

- Batsmen weren't too adept at flicking straight deliveries across the line, which reduced the incidence of LBWs. This is just my hunch, based on the old 1930s newsreel footage I've seen. I generally find players of that period offering the full face of the bat even to deliveries on middle stump. One day cricket has definitely improved the range of strokeplay, especially the art of hitting across the line. Subcontinental batsmen with their wristy unorthodox style have also contributed to this.

Posted by: Patrick at November 15, 2008 4:52 AM

The increase in keeper catches could also be attributed to keepers being much more athletic these days (ie more difficult, diving catches)

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Y Anantha Narayanan has over 35 years of IT background. Over the past 15 years, he has been concentrating on Cricket analysis and software development. He has been involved with StumpVision, Wisden, Hallmark Software and his own site www.thirdslip.com during this period.
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