There are not many conclusions you can draw from one day of a Test series, and the feeling of doom and gloom that has spread over England like one of our clouds is premature. The fans think the team slip back too easily into their old ways; the team could say the same of the fans.
Some things, however, we can state with confidence. The Australian batting has already broken free, as it never did in 2005. This match is conforming to the pattern for Brisbane, where Australia average 507 this century and rattle along at 3.8 an over, rather than the new template struck for Ashes matches in 2005, when Australia didn’t reach 400.
England have a minor crisis with their new-ball attack. Andrew Flintoff and Ashley Giles, rust and all, took a very decent three for 100 and kept it tight. Harmison, Hoggard and Anderson took none for 200 and kept it loose. That will change at some point, but it has to change fast and dramatically to affect the momentum of this match.
Four years ago, England got the nerves out of their system on day one and bounced back well on day two. But even if they do that again, Australia will have 450+. The bowlers can claw back some respect, but they can’t put England on top. The follow-on is already a distinct possibility; the key to this game is how England bat in their first innings.
Andrew Strauss has to be as busy as Justin Langer. England don’t have anyone who can be as elegantly imperious as Ricky Ponting at his best, but they have Kevin Pietersen, who can lord it in his own way. If these two don’t make serious runs, England will be staring 1-0 in the face. Pietersen found big turn; Warne will get far more.
England did three things better than expected today: captaincy (nice variation and invention), catching (no bloopers), and slow bowling (solid stuff from Gilo; not Monty, but not bad). And they did one thing worse: fast bowling. Unfortunately, that’s the one that decides the fate of touring teams in Australia.
My summation. The pitch (and the dull kookaburra ball) is going to be perfect for two days, then take spin. The best England can hope for is a draw.
However. I want some of the sensationalist commentators to stop for a moment and actually think. Langer's innings was weak. Really weak. He swung the bat and edged his way to a magnificently inept 82. The shot he got out to? A technical flaw. This is a well known one: sliding the bat under a square cut, too much bottom hand. Langer poses no threat. And England's bowling was pretty poor other than Flintoff.
Hayden and Martyn? They look very much like bunnies. Hayden is going to receive several balls in over after over which were as innocuous as the one which squared him up. And he was totally boxed up by England's bad bowling until then. Not impressive. Martyn likewise.
No one at all doubts that Ponting and Hussey are superb and are certainly enough to win the Ashes for Australia in the batting department. But on the evidence so far Langer Martyn and Hayden will be bunnies all series... And if you really don't believe me - go back and watch Langer's innings. All of the scoring shots. Of the boundaries, maybe two of them were genuine hits in the middle of the bat.
Also, Fletcher really has messed up in not picking Panesar. If England do score well on this benign pitch it will not have been because of the selection of Giles. And if it spins, Giles won't master warne.
Posted by: anees at November 23, 2006 11:58 PM
mahmood would have got more out of this pitch than anderson,
england should have given a chance to monty but we just have to see how england respond today,
i reckon strauss,kp and bell are the keys for eng;and in this match
i just hope england dont play 2 spinners in this series and also they play mahmood in the next match as he is a different test bowler than a odi bowler
Posted by: Andrew at November 24, 2006 12:02 AM
I agree with you bob except for the statement "Langer poses no threat." People having saying for many years that Langer is the weak link in the opening partnership, he's tto defensive, he's tto attacking, he plays and misses, he hits streaky boundaries. The numbers though is were it will hurt England. It doesn't matter how he makes the runs, he makes more than Hayden and apart from two years or so when Hayden was considered by some to be the best in the world, always has.
Posted by: Simon at November 24, 2006 12:08 AM
You may be right that Langer was a bunny but England failed to take advantage of that completely. The one or two bouncers he recieved, he could not handle. Why didn't England bowl more? The slips positioning was pretty strange as well. With a guy getting those edges why wouldn't you put more in the cordon? At the end of the day Langer scored 82 because England were not good enough to get his wicket.
I think England have far more problems with their bowling line up than Australia do with their top order. At least Australia have players that can come into the team and most probably get runs. England don't seem to have any good pacemen to replace Harmison and Hoggard. Let's face it England are great bowlers when the ball is swinging but it doesn't swing that much in Australia.
I am an Australian and hope that this season is competitve like the last one but i just can't see England getting twenty wickets. Perhaps if the ball swings and Panesar plays they may have a shot. However I do believe England have the batsmen to get enough runs just not the bowling attack.
Posted by: paul at November 24, 2006 1:19 AM
I love to have a team of bunnies that average over 45 after playing 100 tests (including a number against a once mighty Windies attack including Ambrose, Walsh and Bishop), have scored 22 centuries. Sure Langer best days are behind but to call him a bunny is rich indeed. I guess you have missed most of KP's innings where luck is an intregral part of his success.
Posted by: Leon at November 24, 2006 2:31 AM
Well, Australia have definitely won all 4 sessions so far. Yes, Englands bowling has been weak. (like startled deer in the headlights). England need to win the 2 remaining sessions of the day, if for nothing more than bolstering confidence.
I think we'll know more about the England team after their first innings. It will be interesting to see how the Aussie pace boys do on this track. If England bat like the opening day of Edgbaston last time then I think they can get close to the Aussie score (granted I’m talking when the score is 427/4 @ lunch on the 2nd day). However the 4th inning could b a completely different kettle of fish.
I do agree with Simon though. On this display I can't c how England are going to take 20 wickets, and lets face it…that is what won them the series last time.
Now about cloning that Flintoff fella…
Posted by: Rooboy at November 24, 2006 2:42 AM
Langer- a bunny? Seriously guys, how can you honestly call any of Australia's top 7 bunnies. I suggest you llok at the numbers, look at the history, and seriously look at the inept, grade-cricket level bowling attack England have at the moment.
Posted by: Mike Barker at November 24, 2006 3:07 AM
Harmison's shocking performance to date is a massive, massive blow to England. A strong performance from him was ABSOLUTELY ESSENTIAL for England to do well in this series. Unless he has a complete turnaround over the rest of this match I'll hazard a guess that his tour will be over and Mahmood will have to be brought in. One cannot underestimate how damaging Harmison's meltdown is. Can he pick himself up from here? Sorry but he doesnt strike me as the kind of guy that can shrug this off. I fear this series may have already been decided.
Posted by: Matthew at November 24, 2006 4:45 AM
Poor management by Fletcher - Monty should have played. Giles was terrible - there was no pressure at all or any turn. At least KP span it past the bat a couple of times. Also, Mahmood was always going to be a better pick than Anderson on a fast Gabba track.
As for Flintoff's captaincy - one word...crap.
Poor choice of bowlers first up (he didn't bowl himself until the 16th over),then bowling Bell, and then the awful 2nd new ball, when he seemed to be encouraging Anderson to reach his century (or runs conceded). A new manager and a new captain please...
Posted by: Vishnu at November 24, 2006 5:01 AM
Big calls from Bob!! Guess we didn't have too much to worry about with all that rubbish being bowled (other than Andrew Flintoff). Way to waste the new ball on a fast bouncy pitch England. However, I think we see a fair few bigger bunnies wearing blue helmets this summer.....
Posted by: Geoff at November 24, 2006 11:41 PM
Langer, Martyn and Hayden bunnies? These are three batsmen around who Australia have built numerous victories - including numerous Ashes victories. Anyone who suggests they are bunnies has a lack of historical knowledge. All three had poor 2005 Ashes, but throughout their careers(Langer, Hayden, Martyn), many English batsman have come and gone from the side - they are the true bunnies. One bad series (2005) does not make a bad career!!!
Posted by: Vishnu at November 26, 2006 12:40 AM
Gee, I wonder what Bob is thinking today?? Who was 'inept'? Who could NOT play on a pitch the Australians so easily navigated after another totally 'inept' English bowling performance? As for 'bunnies'...think we are definitely going to see far more 'bunnies' that wear blue helmets & have three lions over their hearts. Hmmm Bob, JL not so inept is he? More like dogged, unfashionable, but as compared with your 'inept' team, he gets the job done!!!
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Tim de Lisle is a former editor of Wisden Cricketers’ Almanack, Wisden.com and Wisden Cricket Monthly, where he won an Editor of the Year award in 1999. He is now a cricket columnist for The Times and Cricinfo. A former feature writer on The Daily Telegraph and arts editor of The Independent on Sunday, he writes about rock music for The Mail on Sunday and was shortlisted for Critic of the Year in the British Press Awards 2005. He plays cricket in the park with his children, bowling mediocre offbreaks.